略歴

 

木本 昌秀(きもと まさひで)

1957923日生

東京大学大気海洋研究所 副所長・教授 気候システム研究系系長

 

職歴

1980.4-82.3  気象庁新東京地方気象台観測課(航空気象観測)

  82.4-85.6  気象庁予報部予報課(地上、高層天気図解析、予報支援プログラムの開発)

  85.7-87.6  人事院行政官長期在外研究員制度によりカリフォルニア大学(UCLA)大気科学部大学院に留学(大気力学、長周期変動の解析)

  87.7-90.1 気象庁予報部数値予報課(数値予報、大気海洋結合モデルの開発)

  90.2-91.3 UCLA大気科学部研究員(予測可能性、長周期変動、大気海洋結合モデル開発)

  91.4-92.3  気象庁予報部数値予報課(海洋4次元データ同化システム、大気海洋結合モデルの開発)

  92.4-93.3 気象庁気象研究所気候研究部研究官(海洋データ同化、大気海洋結合モデル)

  93.4-94.3 同主任研究官

  94.4-01.9 東京大学気候システム研究センター助教授(気候解析分野)

  01.10-10.4 同教授(気候変動研究分野;大気海洋結合モデル開発、大気大循環、気候変動の研究)

  07.04-10.4 同副センター長

  10.04-     東京大学大気海洋研究所 副所長・教授 (改組による)

  10.04-      同 気候システム研究系 系長

 

学歴

1976.3      大阪府立三国丘高校卒

1980.3      京都大学理学部地球物理学科卒(B.S.; 気象学)

1985.9-87.6 カリフォルニア大学ロサンゼルス校大気科学部大学院

  87.6      M.S. in Atmospheric Sciences (UCLA)

  89.3      Ph.D. in Atmospheric Sciences (UCLA)

 

表彰など

1986.12      UCLA大気科学部Bjerknes Award

1995.6      気象庁長官表彰(海洋4次元データ同化システムの開発)

2004.5      日本気象学会賞(グローバルな気候系の変動メカニズムに関する力学的研究)

2005.11      日経地球環境技術賞(高分解能大気海洋モデルを用いた地球温暖化予測に関する研究)(人・自然・地球共生プロジェクト 温暖化予測第一課題研究グループ(代表:住 明正);研究グループとしての受賞)

2010.6       17回日産科学賞(高分解能気候システムモデルを用いた地球温暖化と降水量変動予測に関する研究)

2012.10      日本気象学会誌気象集誌論文賞(共著;稲津將・佐竹祐哉・木本昌秀・安富奈津子)

2013.12      日本気象学会誌気象集誌論文賞(共著;森 正人・木本昌秀・石井正好・横井 覚・

望月 崇・近本喜光・渡部雅浩・野沢 徹・建部洋晶・坂本 天・小室芳樹・今田由紀子・小山博司)

2015.5      日本気象学会藤原賞(気候モデルの開発を通した我が国の地球温暖化研究の推進と気候変動にかかわる社会への情報発信)

 

 

Professional Service

Member of local organizing committee, WMO 2nd International Symposium on Assimilation of Observations in Meteorology and Oceanography, Tokyo, March 1995

Member of Editorial Board, Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan, 1996-2000

Member of Climate Change Committee, Greenhouse Gases Section, Japan Meteorological Agency, 1998-

ARGO計画評価助言委員会委員2000.4-2006.3

気象庁長期再解析推進委員会委員2001.4-2006.3

水文・水資源学会「気候変動が水資源に与える影響評価研究会委員」2003.10-2005.03

国土交通省交通政策審議会気象分科会臨時委員2003.11-2005.3

気象庁気候問題懇談会委員2004.08-

日本気象学会誌「SOLA」編集委員2004.08-

Member of Working Group on Coupled Modelling of WCRP JSC/CLIVAR, 2005.4-2012.12

気象ブックス出版企画編集委員会委員2005.10-2012.1

総合資源エネルギー調査会臨時委員2006.6-2007.6

日本気象学会地球環境問題委員会委員2006.6-

気象庁異常気象分析検討会会長2007.6-2017.5

東京都港区立エコプラザ指定管理者候補選考委員会委員2007.7-2008.3

気象庁「気象業務の評価に関する懇談会」委員2007.7-2013.3

Member of the Expert Team on Climate Impacts on Monsoon, WMO Commission for Atmospheric Sciences (CAS) Working Group on Tropical Meteorology Research (WGTMR), Monsoon Panel, 2007.7-

日本学術会議特任連携会員2007.6-2008.9

気象研究コンソーシアム運営委員2007.7-2012.6

国土交通省社会資本整備審議会河川分科会専門委員2007.8-2017.3

国土交通省交通政策審議会気象分科会臨時委員2007.12-2008.6

Science Advisory Committee APEC Climate Center 2008.4-

日本気象学会長期予報研究連絡会代表 2008.5-

港区地球温暖化対策地域推進計画策定委員会委員2008.7.31-2009.6.30

Member of Scientific Steering Committee, College of Global Change and Earth System Science, Beijing Normal University 2008.12.15-2013.12.15

日本学術会議連携会員2008.12-2011.9

日本気象学会評議員2009.1-2010.6

「温暖化の観測・予測及び影響評価統合レポート(仮称)」専門委員会委員2009.5.1-2010.3

(独)理化学研究所 計算科学研究機構設立準備室研究主幹2009.7-2010.6

Member of Scientific Steering Committee, Institute for Global Change Studies, Tsinghua University, 2010.01.18-2013.01.17

国土交通省交通政策審議会気象分科会臨時委員2011.1-2012.8

日本学術会議連携会員2012.2-2013.1

日本学術会議環境学委員会・地球惑星科学委員会合同IGBPWCRPDVERSITAS合同分科会CLIVAR小委員会委員2012.1-2014.9

Member of WCRP Modeling Advisory Council, 2012.5-2016.12

2012年度「温暖化の観測・予測及び影響評価統合レポート」専門家委員会委員 2012.7-2013.3

環境省適応計画策定に係る専門家委員会委員 2012.12-2013.3

Member, Editorial Board, Scientific Reports, 2013.6-2017.5

気象振興協議会会長 2013.7-

環境省 中央環境審議会 地球環境部会 気候変動影響評価等小委員会委員, 2013.7-

Member of Scientific Steering Committee for the Joint Center for Global Change Studies, 2013.7-

日本気象学会学術委員会委員, 2014.6-2016.5

国土交通省「新たなステージに対応した防災・減災のあり方に関する懇談会」委員 2014.10-2014.11

内閣府 中央防災会議 防災対策実行会議防災関連研究の戦略的推進ワーキンググループ委員, 2015.1-

Member of WMO/lCSU/IOC Joint Scientific Committee (JSC) for WCRP, 2015.1-2018.12

Member of Working Group on CLIVAR Decadal climate variability and predictability, 2015.3-

日本学術会議環境学委員会・地球惑星科学委員会合同IGBPWCRPDVERSITAS合同分科会CLIVAR小委員会委員長2015.3-

Member of Joint Scientific Advisory Committee of the Earth System Modeling Center (ESMC) of Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology (NUIST), 2015.5-

環境省国立研究開発法人審議会委員, 2015.7-2019.7

Member of WCRP Grand Challenge Concept Group on Near-term climate prediction, 2015.7-

気象ビジネス推進コンソーシアム副会長, 2017.3-

気象庁異常気象分析検討会委員2017.6-

文部科学省技術参与(環境エネルギー科学技術研究担当)2017.6.22-


著作

 

【査読つき】

Imada, Y., S. Maeda, M. Watanabe, H. Shiogama, R. Mizuta, M. Ishii, M. Kimoto, 2017: Recent Enhanced Seasonal Temperature Contrast in Japan from Large Ensemble High-Resolution Climate Simulations. Atmosphere, 8, no. 3, 57, doi:10.3390/atmos8030057.

Shiogama, H., M. Watanabe, Y. Imada, M. Mori, Y. Kamae, M. Ishii, and M. Kimoto, 2016: Corrigendum: Attribution of the June-July 2013 heat wave in the Southwestern United States. SOLA, 12, c3c4, doi:10.2151/sola.2016-062.)

Ham, Y.-G., J.-S. Kug2, Y. Chikamoto, M. Kimoto, T. Mochizuki, 2017: Tropical AtlanticKorea teleconnection pattern during boreal summer season. Climate Dyn., in press.

Boer, G. J., Smith, D. M., Cassou, C., Doblas-Reyes, F., Danabasoglu, G., Kirtman, B., Kushnir, Y., Kimoto, M., Meehl, G. A., Msadek, R., Mueller, W. A., Taylor, K. E., Zwiers, F., Rixen, M., Ruprich-Robert, Y., and Eade, R., 2016: The Decadal Climate Prediction Project (DCPP) contribution to CMIP6, Geosci. Model Dev., 9, 3751-3777, doi:10.5194/gmd-9-3751-2016.

Kamae, Y., H. Shiogama, Y. Imada, M. Mori, O. Arakawa, R. Mizuta, K. Yoshida, C. Takahashi, M. Arai, M. Ishii, M. Watanabe, M. Kimoto, S.-P. Xie, and H. Ueda, 2016: Forced response and internal variability of summer climate over western North America. Clim. Dyn., 49, 403-417, doi:10.1007/s00382-016-3350-x.

Kamae, Y., H. Shiogama, M. Watanabe, T. Ogura, T. Yokohata, and M. Kimoto, 2016: Lower tropospheric mixing as a constraint on cloud feedback in a multiparameter multiphysics ensemble. J. Climate, 29, 6259-6275, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0042.1.

Shiogama, H., Y. Imada, M. Mori, R. Mizuta, D. Stone, K. Yoshida, O. Arakawa, M. Ikeda, C. Takahashi, M. Arai, M. Ishii, M. Watanabe and M. Kimoto, 2016: Attributing historical changes in probabilities of record breaking daily temperature and precipitation extreme events. Sci. Online Lett. Atmos., 12, 225231, doi:10.2151/sola.2016-045. 

Mochizuki, T., M. Kimoto, M. Watanabe, Y. Chikamoto, and M. Ishii, 2016: Interbasin influence of the Indian Ocean on the Pacific decadal climate change. Geophys. Res. Lett., 43, 71687175, doi:10.1002/2016GL069940.

Chikamoto, Y., T. Mochizuki, A. Timmermann, M. Kimoto, and M. Watanabe, 2016: Potential tropical Atlantic impacts on Pacific decadal climate trends. Geophys. Res. Lett., 43, 71437151, doi:10.1002/2016GL069544.

Imada, Y., H. Tatebe, M. Watanabe, M. Ishii, and M. Kimoto, 2016: South Pacific influence on the termination of El Niño in 2014. Sci. Rep., 6, 30341; doi: 10.1038/srep30341.. 

Imada, Y., H. Tatebe, M. Ishii, Y. Chikamoto, M. Mori, M. Arai, M. Watanabe, and M. Kimoto, 2015: Predictability of two types of El Niño assessed using an extended seasonal prediction system by MIROC. Mon. Wea. Rev., 143, no.11, 4597-4617, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-15-0007.1.

Imada, Y. S. Kanae, M. Kimoto, M. Watanabe, and M. Ishii, 2015: Predictability of Persistent Thailand Rainfall during the Mature Monsoon Season in 2011 Using Statistical Downscaling of CGCM Seasonal Prediction. Mon. Wea. Rev., 143, no.4, 1166-1178, doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-14-00228.1.

Chikamoto, Y., A. Timmermann, J.-J. Luo, T. Mochizuki, M. Kimoto, M. Watanabe, M. Ishii, S.-P. Xie and F.-F. Jin, 2015: Skilful multi-year predictions of tropical trans-basin climate variability. Nature Comm., doi: 10.1038/ncomms7869.

Kamae, Y., H. Shiogama, M. Watanabe, M. Ishii, H. Ueda, and M. Kimoto, 2015: Recent slowdown of tropical upper-tropospheric warming associated with Pacific climate variability. Geophys. Res. Lett., 42, 2995-3003, doi:10.1002/2015GL063608.

Mori, M., M. Watanabe, H. Shiogama, J. Inoue, and M. Kimoto, 2014: Robust Arctic sea-ice influence on the frequent Eurasian cold winters in the past decades. Nature Geosci., doi:10.1038/nclimate2355.

Hirota, N., Y. N. Takayabu; M. Watanabe; M. Kimoto, and M. Chikira, 2014: Role of convective entrainment in spatial distributions of and temporal variations in precipitation over tropical oceans. J. Climate, 27, 8707-8723, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00701.1.

Lestari, R. K., M. Watanabe, Y. Imada, H. Shiogama, R. D. Field, T. Takemura, and M. Kimoto, 2014: Increasing potential of biomass burning over Sumatra, Indonesia induced by anthropogenic tropical warming. Environ. Res. Lett., 9, 104010, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/9/10/104010.

Watanabe, M., Y. Kamae, and M. Kimoto, 2014: Robust increase of the equatorial Pacific rainfall and its variability in a warmed climate. Geophys. Res. Lett., 41, 3227-3232, doi: 10.1002/2014GL059692.

Watanabe, M., H. Shiogama, H. Tatebe, M. Hayashi, M. Ishii, and M. Kimoto, 2014: Contribution of natural decadal variability to global warming acceleration and hiatus. Nature Climate Change, doi: doi:10.1038/nclimate2355.

Shiogama, H., M. Watanabe, Y. Imada, M. Mori, Y. Kamae, M. Ishii, and M. Kimoto, 2014: Attribution of the JuneJuly 2013 heat wave in the southwestern United States. Sci. Online Lett. Atmos., 10, 122-126, doi: 10.2151/sola.2014-025.

Kamae, Y., H. Shiogama, M. Watanabe, and M. Kimoto, 2014: Attributing the increase in Northern Hemisphere hot summers since the late 20th century. Geophys. Res. Lett., 41, 5192-5199, doi:10.1002/2014GL061062.

Imada, Y., H. Shiogama, M. Watanabe, M. Mori, M. Kimoto, and M. Ishii, 2014: The Contribution of anthropogenic forcing to the Japanese heat waves of 2013. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 95, S52-S54.

Miyakawa, T., M. Satoh, H. Miura, H. Tomita, H. Yashiro, A. T. Noda, Y. Yamada, C. Kodama, M. Kimoto, and K. Yoneyama, 2014MaddenJulian Oscillation prediction skill of a new-generation global model demonstrated using a supercomputer. Nature Communications, 5, Article number: 3769, doi:10.1038/ncomms4769.

Mochizuki, T., M. Kimoto, Y. Chikamoto, M. Mori, M. Watanabe, and M. Ishii, 2014: Error sensitivity to initial climate states in Pacific decadal hindcasts. Sci. Online Lett. Atmos., 10, 3944, doi:10.2151/sola.2014-009.

Kamae, Y., M. Watanabe, M. Kimoto, and H. Shiogama, 2014: Summertime land-sea thermal contrast and atmospheric circulation over East Asia in a warming climate-Part II: Importance of CO2-induced continental warming. Clim. Dyn., 43, 2569-2583, doi:10.1007/s00382-014-2146-0.

Kamae, Y., M. Watanabe, M. Kimoto, and H. Shiogama, 2014: Summertime land-sea thermal contrast and atmospheric circulation over East Asia in a warming climate. Part I: Past changes and future projections. Clim. Dyn., 43, 2553-2568, doi:10.1007/s00382-014-2073-0.

Kirtman, B., S.B. Power, J.A. Adedoyin, G.J. Boer, R. Bojariu, I. Camilloni, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, A.M. Fiore, M. Kimoto, G.A. Meehl, M. Prather, A. Sarr, C. Schär, R. Sutton, G.J. van Oldenborgh, G. Vecchi and H.J. Wang, 2013: Near-term Climate Change: Projections and Predictability. In: Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Stocker, T.F., D. Qin, G.-K. Plattner, M. Tignor, S.K. Allen, J. Boschung, A. Nauels, Y. Xia, V. Bex and P.M. Midgley (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA.

Peterson, T. C., L, V. Alexander, M. R. Allen, J. Anel, D. Barriopedro, M. T. Black, T. Carey-Smith, R. Castillo, J. Cattiaux, X. Chen, X. Chen, M. Chevallier, N. Christidis, A. Ciavarella, H. de Vries, Hylke; S. M. Dean, K. Deans, N. S. Diffenbaugh, F. Doblas-Reyes, M. G. Donat, B. Dong, G. Eilerts, C. Funk, G. Galu, R. Garcia-Herrera, A. Germe, S. Gill, L. Gimeno, V. Guemas, S. C. Herring, A. Hoell, M. P. Hoerling, C. Huntingford, G. Husak, Y. Imada, M. Ishii, D. J. Karoly, M. Kimoto, A. D. King, T. R. Knutson, S. C. Lewis, R. Lin, B. Lyon, N. Massey, E. Mazza, J. Michaelsen, J. Mollard, M. Mori, P. W. Mote, R. Nieto, F. E. L. Otto, J. Park, S. E. Perkins, S. Rosier, J. Rowland, D. E. Rupp, D. Salas y Melia, M. Scherer, H. Shiogama, S. Shukla, F. Song, S. Sparrow, P. A. Scott, R. Sutton, W. Sweet, S. F. B. Tett, R. M. Trigo, G.J. van Oldenborgh, R. van Westrhenen, J. Verdin, M. Watanabe, A. T. Wittenberg, T. Woollings, P. Yiou, F. Zeng, C. Zervas, R. Zhang, and T. Zhou, 2013: Explaining extreme events of 2012 from a climate perspective. Bull. Amer. Meteorol. Soc., 94, S1-S74,    10.1175/BAMS-D-13-00085.

Imada Y., Watanabe M., Mori M., Kimoto M., Shiogama H, and Ishii M., 2013: Contribution of atmospheric circulation change to the 2012 heavy rainfall in southern Japan, [in Explaining Extreme Events of 2012 from a Climate Perspective]. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 94 (9), S52-S54.

Yang, P., Z. Li, W. Wu, Z. Liu, M. Inatsu, Y. Zha, P. Tang, Z. Li, M. Kimoto, H. Tang, 2013: Simulated impact of elevated CO2, temperature, and precipitation on the winter wheat yield in the North China Plain. Reg. Environ. Change, doi: 10.1007/s10113-013-0484-9.

Shiogama, H., M. Watanabe, T. Ogura, T. Yokohata, and M. Kimoto, 2013: Multi-parameter multi-physics ensemble (MPMPE): A  new approach exploring the uncertainties of climate sensitivity. Atmos. Sci. Lett., doi: 10.1002/asl2.472.

Imada, Y., H. Tatebe, Y. Komuro, and M. Kimoto, 2013: Multi-decadal modulation of tropical Pacific instability wave activity since the middle of the twentieth century. Sci. Online Lett. Atmos., 9, 102-105, doi:10.2151/sola.2013-023.

Watanabe, M., Y. Kamae, M. Yoshimori, A. Oka, M. Sato, M. Ishii, T. Mochizuki, and M. Kimoto, 2013: Strengthening of ocean heat uptake efficiency associated with the recent climate hiatus. Geophys. Res. Lett,. 40, 31753179, doi:10.1002/grl.50541.

Shiogama, H., M. Watanabe, Y. Imada, M. Mori, M. Ishii, and M. Kimoto, 2013: An event attribution of the 2010 drought in the South Amazon region using the MIROC5 model. Atmos. Sci. Let., DOI: 10.1002/asl2.435.

Hu, A., G. A. Meehl, W. Han, J. Yin, B. Wu, and M. Kimoto, 2013: Influence of continental ice retreat on future global climate. J. Climate, 26, 30873111, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00102.1.

河宮未知生, 石井正好, 鬼頭昭雄,木本昌秀, 2013:「21世紀気候変動予測革新プログラム」におけるCMIP5実験仕様に基づいた温暖化予測実験. 日本気象学会誌「天気」, 60, 223-246.

Doblas-Reyes F.J., I. Andreu-Burillo, Y. Chikamoto, J. García-Serrano, V. Guemas, M. Kimoto, T. Mochizuki, L.R.L. Rodrigues and G.J. van Oldenborgh, 2013:  Initialized near-term regional climate change prediction. Nature Comm., 4, 1715, doi:10.1038/ncomms2704.

Meehl, G. A., L. Goddard, G. Boer, R. Burgman, G. Branstator, C. Cassou, S. Corti, G. Danabasoglu, F. Doblas-Reyes, E. Hawkins, A. Karspeck, M. Kimoto, A. Kumar, D. Matei, J. Mignot, R. Msadek, H. Pohlmann, M. Rienecker, T. Rosati, E. Schneider, D. Smith, R. Sutton, H. Teng, G. J. van Oldenborgh, G. Vecchi, and S. Yeager, 2013: Decadal climate prediction: an update from the trenches. Bull. Amer. Meteorol. Soc.., doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-12-00241.1

今田由紀子,鼎信次郎,渡部雅浩,石井正好,木本昌秀,20132011年タイの大雨の季節予測可能性,土木学会論文集B1(水工学)69.

Watanabe, M., H. Shiogama, Y. Imada, M. Mori, M. Ishii, and M. Kimoto, 2013: Event attribution of the August 2010 Russian heat wave. Sci. Online Lett. Atmos., 9, 64-67, doi:10.2151/sola.2013-015.

Tatebe, H., Y. Imada, M. Mori, M. Kimoto, and H. Hasumi, 2013: Control of decadal and bidecadal climate variability in the tropical Pacific by the off-equatorial South Pacific Ocean. J. Climate, 26, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00137.1. 

Mori, M., M. Kimoto, M. Ishii, S. Yokoi, T. Mochizuki, Y. Chikamoto, M. Watanabe, T. Nozawa, H. Tatebe, T. T. Sakamoto, Y. Komuro, Y. Imada, and H. Koyama, 2013: Hindcast prediction and near-future projection of tropical cyclone activity over the western North Pacific using CMIP5 near-term experiments with MIROC. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 91, 431-452, doi:10.2151/jmsj.2013.

Yasunaka, S., and M Kimoto, 2013: Upper ocean temperature warming pattern in the past 50 years. J. Oceanogr., 69, 8795, DOI 10.1007/s10872-012-0159-z.

Mori, M., M. Watanabe, M. Kimoto, 2013 Nonlinear Hadley circulation response to the zonally asymmetric sea surface temperature in an aqua-planet GCM. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 91A, 269-291, doi:10.2151/jmsj.2013-A10..

Blackburn, M., D. L. Williamson, K. Nakajima, W. Ohfuchi, Y. O. Takahashi, Y.-Y. Hayashi, H. Nakamura, M. Ishiwatari, J. McGregor, H. Borth, V. Wirth, H. Frank, P. Bechtold, N. P. Wedi, H. Tomita, M. Satoh, M. Zhao, I. M. Held, M. J. Suarez, M.-I. Lee, M. Watanabe, M. Kimoto, Y. Liu, Z. Wang, A. Molod, K. Rajendran, A. Kitoh and R. Stratton, 2013: The Aqua-Planet Experiment (APE): CONTROL SST simulation. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 91A, 17-56, doi:10.2151/jmsj.2013-A02.

Williamson, D. L., M. Blackburn, K. Nakajima, W. Ohfuchi, Y. O. Takahashi, Y.-Y. Hayashi, H. Nakamura, M. Ishiwatari, J. McGregor, H. Borth, V. Wirth, H. Frank, P. Bechtold, N. P. Wedi, H. Tomita, M. Satoh, M. Zhao, I. M. Held, M. J. Suarez, M.-I. Lee, M. Watanabe, M. Kimoto, Y. Liu, Z. Wang, A. Molod, K. Rajendran, A. Kitoh and R. Stratton, 2013: The Aqua-Planet Experiment (APE): Response to changed meridional SST profile. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 91A, 57-89, doi:10.2151/jmsj.2013-A03.

Miura, H., T. Maeda, and M. Kimoto, 2012: A comparison of the Madden-Julian oscillation simulated by different versions of the MIROC climate model. Sci. Online Lett. Atmos., 8, 165-169, doi:10.2151/sola.2012-040.

今田由紀子,鼎信次郎,木本昌秀,2012:特異値分解解析を用いた統計的ダウンスケーリングによる季節予測−インドシナ半島の秋季の降水の予測可能性−,土木学会論文集B1(水工学)68, I_1369-I_1374.

Smith, D. M., A. A. Scaife, G. J. Boer, M. Caian, F. J. Doblas-Reyes, V. Guemas, E. Hawkins, W. Hazeleger, L. Hermanson, C. K. Ho, M. Ishii, V. Kharin, M. Kimoto, B. Kirtman, J. Lean, D. Matei, W. J. Merryfield, W. A. Müller, H. Pohlmann, A. Rosati, B. Wouters and K. Wyser, 2012: Real-time multi-model decadal climate predictions. Climate Dyn., doi:10.1007/s00382-012-1600-0.

Chikamoto, Y., M. Kimoto, M. Watanabe, M. Ishii, and Mochizuki, 2012: Relationship between the Pacifc and Atlantic stepwise climate change during the 1990s. Geophys. Res. Lett., doi:10.1029/2012GL053901, in press.

Tanaka, K., H.-J. Kim, K. Saito, H. G. Takahashi, M. Watanabe, T. Yokohata, M. Kimoto, K. Takata, and T. Yasunari, 2012: How have both cultivation and warming influenced annual global isoprene and monoterpene emissions since the preindustrial era? Atmos. Chem. Phys. Discuss., 12, 16515-16555, doi:10.5194/acpd-12-16515-2012.

Shiogama, H., M. Watanabe, M. Yoshimori, T. Yokohata, T. Ogura, J. D. Annan, J. C. Hargreaves, M. Abe, Y. Kamae, R. Oishi, R. Nobui, S. Emori, T. Nozawa, A. Abe-Ouchi and M. Kimoto, 2012: Perturbed physics ensemble using the MIROC5 coupled atmosphere-ocean GCM without flux corrections: Experimental design and results. Climate Dyn., 39, 30413056, DOI 10.1007/s00382-012-1441-x.

Ishizaki, Y., K. Yoshimura, S. Kanae, M. Kimoto, N. Kurita, and T. Oki, 2012: Interannual variability of H218O in precipitation over the Asian monsoon region. J. Geophys. Res., 117, D16308, doi:10.1029/2011JD015890.

Iwao, K., M. Inatsu, and M. Kimoto, 2012: Recent changes in explosively developing extratropical cyclones over the winter northwestern Pacific. J. Climate, 25, 72827296, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00373.1.

Inatsu, M., Y. Satake, M. Kimoto, and N. Yasutomi, 2012: GCM Bias of the Western Pacific Summer Monsoon and Its Correction by Two-Way Nesting System Monsoon. J. Meteorol. Soc. Japan, 90B, 1-10.

Okazaki, A., P. J.-F. Yeh, K. Yoshimura, M. Watanabe, M. Kimoto, and T. Oki, 2012: Changes in flood risk under global warming estimated using MIROC5 and the discharge probability index. J. Meteorol. Soc. Japan, 90, 509-524.

Chikamoto, Y., M. Kimoto, M. Ishii, T. Mochizuki, T. T. Sakamoto, H. Tatebe, Y. Komuro, M. Watanabe, T. Nozawa, H. Shiogama, M. Mori, S. Yasunaka, Y. Imada, 2012: An overview of decadal climate predictability in a multi-model ensemble by climate model MIROC. Climate Dyn., doi: 10.1007/s00382-012-1351-y.

Watanabe, M, H. Shiogama, T. Yokohata, Y. Kamae, M. Yoshimori, T. Ogura, J. Annan, J. C. Hargreaves, S. Emori, and M. Kimoto, 2012: Using a multi-physics ensemble for exploring diversity in cloud-shortwave feedback in GCMs. J. Climate, 25, 5416-5431, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00564.1.

Sakamoto, T. T., Y. Komuro, T. Nishimura, M. Ishii, H. Tatebe, H. Shiogama, A. Hasegawa, T. Toyoda, M. Mori, T. Suzuki, Yukiko Imada, T. Nozawa, K. Takata, T. Mochizuki, K. Ogochi, S. Emori, H. Hasumi, and M. Kimoto, 2012: MIROC4h--a new high-resolution atmosphere-ocean coupled general circulation model. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 90, 325-359, doi: 10.2151/jmsj.2012-301.

Hu, A., G. A. Meehl, W. Han, A. Timmermann, B. Otto-Bliesner, Z. Liu, W. M. Washington, W. Large, A. Abe-Ouchi, M. Kimoto, K. Lambeck, and B. Wu, 2012: The Bering Strait and glacial climate stability. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA, 109 (17) 6417-6422, doi:10.1073/pnas.1116014109.

Imada Y. and M. Kimoto, 2012: Parameterization of tropical instability waves and examination of their impact on ENSO characteristics. J. Climate, 25, 4568-4581, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00233.1.

Imada, Y., M. Kimoto, and X. Chen, 2012: Impact of the atmospheric mean state on tropical instability wave activity. J. Climate, 25, 23412355.

吉森正和, 横畠徳太, 小倉知夫, 大石龍太, 河宮未知生, 塩竈秀夫, 對馬洋子, 小玉知央, 野田暁, 千喜良稔, 竹村俊彦, 佐藤正樹, 阿部彩子, 渡部雅浩, 木本昌秀, 2012a: 気候感度 Part 1: 気候フィードバックの概念と理解の現状. 日本気象学会誌「天気」, 59, 5-22.

吉森正和, 横畠徳太, 小倉知夫, 大石龍太, 河宮未知生, 塩竈秀夫, 對馬洋子, 小玉知央, 野田暁, 千喜良稔, 竹村俊彦, 佐藤正樹, 阿部彩子, 渡部雅浩, 木本昌秀, 2012b: 気候感度 Part 2: 不確実性の低減への努力.日本気象学会誌「天気」, 59, 91-109.

吉森正和, 横畠徳太, 小倉知夫, 大石龍太, 河宮未知生, 塩竈秀夫, 對馬洋子, 小玉知央, 野田暁, 千喜良稔, 竹村俊彦, 佐藤正樹, 阿部彩子, 渡部雅浩, 木本昌秀, 2012c: 気候感度 Part 3: 古環境からの検証. 日本気象学会誌「天気」, 59, 143-150.

Branstator, G., H. Teng, G. A. Meehl, M. Kimoto, J. R. Knight, M. Latif, and A. Rosati, 2012: Systematic Estimates of Decadal Predictability for Six AOGCMs. J. Climate, 25, 18271846.

Mochizuki, T., Y. Chikamoto, M. Kimoto, M. Ishii, H. Tatebe, Y. Komuro, T. T. Ssksmoto, M. Watanabe, and M. Mori, Decadal prediction using a recent series of MIROC global climate models. J. Meteorol. Soc. Japan, 90A, 373-383. 

Chikamoto, Y., M. Kimoto, Masayoshi Ishii, M. Watanabe, T. Nozawa, T. Mochizuki, H. Tatebe, T. T. Sakamoto, Y. Komuro, H. Shiogama, M. Mori, S. Yasunaka, Y. Imada, H. Koyama, M. Nozu, and F.-F. Jin, 2012: Predictability of a stepwise shift in Pacfic climate during the late 1990s in hindcast experiments by MIROC. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 90A, 1-21.

Komuro, Y., T. Suzuki, T. T. Sakamoto, H. Hasumi, M. Ishii, M. Watanabe, T. Nozawa, T. Yokohata, T. Nishimura, K. Ogochi, S. Emori, and M. Kimoto, 2012: Sea-ice climatology and trends in twentieth-century simulations by new MIROC coupled models. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 90A, 213-232.

Tatebe, H., M. Ishii, T. Mochizuki, Y. Chikamoto, T. T. Sakamoto, Y. Komuro, M. Mori, S. Yasunaka, M. Watanabe, K. Ogochi, T. Suzuki, T. Nishimura, and M. Kimoto, 2012: Initialization of the climate model MIROC for decadal prediction with hydographic data assimilation. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 90A, 275-294.

Sato, T., A. Juri, K. Masuyama, E. Imakita, and M. Kimoto, 2011: Verification of downscaling framework for interannual variation of tropical cyclone in western North Pacific. Sci. Online Lett. Atmos., 7, 169-172.

Watanabe, M, H. Shiogama, M. Yoshimori, T. Ogura, T. Yokohata, H. Okamoto, S. Emori, and M. Kimoto, 2011: Fast and slow timescales in the tropical low-cloud response to increasing CO2 in two climate models. Climate Dyn., DOI 10.1007/s00382-011-1178-y.

Yasunaka, S., M. Ishii, M. Kimoto, T. Mochizuki, and H. Shiogama, 2011: Influence of XBT temperature bias on decadal climate prediction with a coupled climate model. J. Climate, 24, 5303-5308, doi: 10.1175/2011JCLI4230.1.

Hirota, N., Y. N. Takayabu, M. Watanabe, and M. Kimoto, 2011: Precipitation reproducibility over tropical oceans and its relationship to the double ITCZ problem in CMIP3 and MIROC5 climate models. J. climate, 24, 4859-4873, doi: 10.1175/2011JCLI4156.1.

Yokoi, S., Y. N. Takayabu, K. Nishii, H. Nakamura, H. Endo, H. Ichikawa, T. Inoue, M. Kimoto, Y. Kosaka, T. Miyasaka, K. Oshima, N. Sato, Y. Tsushima, and M. Watanabe, 2011: Application of cluster analysis to climate model performance metrics. J. App. Meteorol. Climatol., 50, 1666-1675.

Toyoda, T., T. Awaji, N. Sugiura, S. Masuda, H. Igarashi, Y. Sasaki, Y. Hiyoshi, Y. Ishikawa, T. Mochizuki, T. Sakamoto, H. Tatebe, Y. Komuro, T. Suzuki, T. Nishimura, M. Mori, Y. Chikamoto, S. Yasunaka, Y. Imada, M. Arai, M. Watanabe, H. Shiogama, T. Nozawa, A. Hasegawa, M. Ishii, and M. Kimoto, 2011: Impact of the Assimilation of Sea Ice Concentration Data on an Atmosphere-Ocean-Sea Ice Coupled Simulation of the Arctic Ocean Climate. Sci. Online Lett. Atmos., 7, 37-40.

Watanabe, M., H. Shiogama, T. Yokohata, T. Ogura, M. Yoshimori, S. Emori, and M. Kimoto, 2011: Constraints to the Tropical Low-Cloud Trends in Historical Climate Simulations by MIROC. Atmos. Sci. Lett., 12, 288-293, doi:10.1002/asl.337.

Kim, H.-J, K. Takata, B. Wang, M. Watanabe, M. Kimoto, T. Yokohata, and T. Yasunari, 2011: Global monsoon, El Nino, and their interannual linkage simulated by MIROC5 and the CMIP3 CGCMs. J. climate, 24, doi:10.1175/2011JCLI4132.1.

Lestari, R. K., M. Watanabe, and M. Kimoto, 2011: Role of air-sea coupling in the South China Sea summer monsoon. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 89A, 283-290, doi:10.2151/jmsj.2011-A18.

Watanabe, M., M. Chikira, Y. Imada, and M. Kimoto, 2011: Convective control of ENSO simulated in MIROC. J. Climate, 24, 543-562.

Watanabe, T. Suzuki, R. Oishi, Y. Komuro, S. Watanabe, S. Emori, T. Takemura, M. Chikira, T. Ogura, M. Sekiguchi, K. Takata, D. Yamazaki, T. Yokohata, T. Nozawa, H. Hasumi, H. Tatebe and M. Kimoto, 2010: Improved climate simulation by MIROC5: Mean states, variability, and climate sensitivity. J. Climate, 23, 6312-6335.

Kim, W.-M., J.-G. Jhun, K.-J. Ha, and M. Kimoto, 2011: Decadal changes in climatological intraseasonal fluctuation of subseasonal evolution of summer precipitation over the Korean Peninsula in the mid-1990s. Adv. Atmos. Sci., 28(3), 591-600, doi: 10.1007/s00376-010-0037-9.

Murphy, J., V. Kattsov, N. Keenlyside, M. Kimoto, G. A. Meehl, V. Mehta, H. Pohlmann, A. Scaife, and D. Smith, 2010: Towards prediction of decadal climate variability and change. Proc. Environ. Sci., 1, 287-304.

Shiogama, H., S. Emori, T. Mochizuki, S. Yasunaka, T. Yokohata, M. Ishii, T. Nozawa, and M. Kimoto, 2010: Possible influence of volcanic activity on the decadal potential predictability of the natural variability in near-term climate predictions. Adv. Meteorol., vol. 2010, Article ID 657318, doi:10.1155/2010/657318.

Chikamoto, Y., Y. Tanimoto, H. Mukougawa, and M. Kimoto, 2010: Subtropical Pacific SST variability related to the local Hadley circulation during the premature stage of ENSO. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, vol.88, no.2, 183-202, doi:10.2151/jmsj.2010-205.

Mochizuki, T., M. Ishii, M. Kimoto, Y. Chikamoto, M. Watanabe, T. Nozawa, T. T. Sakamoto, H. Shiogama, T. Awaji, N. Sugiura, T. Toyoda, S. Yasunaka, H. Tatebe, and M. Mori, 2010: Pacific Decadal Oscillation hindcasts relevant to near-term climate prediction. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA, doi: 10.1073/pnas.0906531107.

Sugiura, N., T. Awaji, S. Masuda, T. Toyoda, H. Igarashi, Y. Ishikawa, M. Ishii, and M. Kimoto, 2009: The potential for decadal predictability in the North Pacific region. Geophys. Res. Lett., 36, L20701, doi:10.1029/2009GL039787.

Meehl, G. A., L. Goddard, J. Murphy, R. J. Stouffer, G. Boer, G. Danabasoglu, K. Dixon, M. A. Giorgetta, A. Greene, E. Hawkins, G. Hegerl, D. Karoly, N. Keenlyside, M. Kimoto, B. Kirtman, A. Navarra, R. Pulwarty, D. Smith, D. Stammer, and T. Stockdale , 2009: Decadal Prediction: Can it be skillful? Bull. Amer. Meteorol. Soc., 90, 1467-1485.

Inatsu, M., and M. Kimoto, 2009: A scale interaction study on East Asian cyclogenesis using a general circulation model with an interactively nested regional model. Mon. Wea. Rev., 137, 2851-2868.

Kug, J.-S., Y.-G. Ham, M. Kimoto, F.-F. Jin, and I.-S. Kang, 2009: New approach for optimal perturbation method in ensemble climate prediction with empirical singular vector. Climate Dyn., doi 10.1007/s00382-009-0664-y.

Shin, S.-H., M. Kimoto, and K.-J. Ha, 2009: Comparison of two different vertical diffusion schemes in amplitude and phase of the diurnal variation and Its impact on a GCM. Geophys. Res. Lett., 36, L18706, doi:10.1029/2009GL039414.

Kosaka, Y., H. Nakamura, M. Watanabe, and M. Kimoto, 2009: Analysis on the dynamics of a wave-like teleconnection pattern along the summertime Asian jet based on a reanalysis dataset and climate model simulations. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, vol.87, no.3, 561-580.

Chen, X., and M. Kimoto, 2009: Simulating tropical instability waves in the equatorial eastern Pacific with a coupled circulation model. Adv. Atmos. Sci., vol 26, no. 5, 10151026.

Shin, S.-H., M. Kimoto, K.-J. Ha, and K.-S. Yun, 2009: Impact of different diffusion schemes on simulated rainfall: Land -Ocean contrast. J. Geophys. Res., 114, D13101, doi:10.1029/2008JD011605.

Ishii, M., and M. Kimoto, 2009: Reevaluation of historical ocean heat content variations with an XBT depth bias correction. J. Oceanogr., 65, 287-299.

Chen, X., B. Hu, M. Kimoto, and W. Li, 2009: A numerical simulation study of influence of tropical instability waves on air-sea interaction. (In Chinese with English abstract) Chinese J. Atmos. Sci., 33(1), 145-154.

Imada, Y., and M. Kimoto, 2009: ENSO amplitude modulation related to Pacific decadal variability. Geophys. Res. Lett., 36, L03706, doi:10.1029/2008GL036421.

Hasumi, H., I. Yasuda, H. Tatebe, and M. Kimoto, 2008: Pacific bidecadal climate variability regulated by tidal mixing around the Kuril Islands. Geophys. Res. Lett., 35, L14601, doi:10.1029/2008GL034406.

Kug, J.-S., K. P. Sooraj, D. Kim, I-S. Kang, F.-F. Jin, Y. N. Takayabu, and M. Kimoto, 2008: Simulation of state-dependent high-frequency atmospheric variability associated with ENSO. Climate Dyn., doi 10.1007/s00382-008-0434-2.

Takayabu, Y. N., and M. Kimoto, 2008: Diurnal march of rainfall simulated in a T106 AGCM and dependence on cumulus schemes. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 86A, 163-173.

Yokohata, T., S. Emori, T. Nozawa, T. Ogura, M. Kawamiya, Y. Tsushima, Ta. Suzuki, S. Yukimoto, A. Abe-Ouchi, H. Hasumi, A. Sumi, and M. Kimoto, 2008: Comparison of equilibrium and transient responses to CO2 increase in eight state-of-the-art climate models. Tellus, doi: 10.1111/j.1600-0870.2008.00345.x.

Koseki, S., M. Watanabe, and M. Kimoto, 2007: Role of midlatitude air-sea interaction in orographically forced climate. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, vol.86, no.2, 335-351.

Hirabayashi, Y., S. Kanae, S. Emori, T. Oki, and M. Kimoto, 2008: Global projections of changing risks of floods and droughts in a changing climate. Hydrol. Sci. J., 53(4), 754-772.

Ogura, T., S. Emori, M. J. Web, Y. Tsushima, A. Abe-Ouchi, and M. Kimoto, 2008: Towards understanding cloud response in atmospheric GCMs: the use of tendency diagnostics. J. Meteor. Soc.Japan, vol. 86, no. 1, 69-79.

Arai, M., and M. Kimoto, 2007: Simulated interannual variation in summertime atmospheric circulation associated with the East Asian monsoon. Climate Dyn., doi 10.1007/s00382-007-0317-y.

Inatsu, M., M. Kimoto, and A. Sumi, 2007: Stratospheric sudden warming with projected global warming and related tropospheric wave activity. SOLA, 3, 105-108.

Cha, E.-J., M. Kimoto, E.-J. Lee, and J.-G. Jhun, 2007: The recent increase in the heavy rainfall events in August over the Korean Peninsula. J. Korean Earth Sci. Soc., 28, no.5, 585-597.

沈学, 木本昌秀, 2007: 春季欧地表气温化特征的气候意. 大气科学, Vol.31 No.1, 19-27.

Saito, K., M. Kimoto, T. Zhang, K. Takata, and S. Emori, 2007: Change in hydro-thermal regimes in the soil-freezing regions under the global warming simulated by a high-resolution climate model. J. Geophys. Res. J. Geophys. Res.-Earth Surface, 112 (F2): Art. No. F02S11 JUN 20 2007.

Yokohata, T., S. Emori, T. Nozawa, T. Ogura, N. Okada, T. Suzuki, Y. Tsushima, M. Kawamiya, A. Abe-Ouchi, H. Hasumi, A. Sumi, and M. Kimoto, 2006: Different transient climate responses of two versions of an atmosphere-ocean coupled general circulation model. Geophys. Res. Lett., 34, L02707, doi:10.1029/2006GL027966.

Imada, Y., and M. Kimoto, 2006: Improvement of thermocline structure that affect ENSO performance in a coupled GCM. SOLA, 2, 164-167, doi:10.2151/sola.2006-042.

Tsushima, Y., S. Emori, T. Ogura, M. Kimoto, M. J. Webb, K. D. Williams, M. A. Ringer, B. J. Soden, B. Li, and N. Andronova , 2006: A multi-model analysis of the distribution of mixed-phase clouds in AGCMs, for control and doubled carbon dioxide simulations. Clim. Dyn., doi:10.1007/s00382-006-0127-7.

Ishii, M., M. Kimoto, K. Sakamoto, and S. Iwasaki, 2006: Steric Sea Level Changes Estimated from Historical Ocean Subsurface Temperature and Salinity Analyses. J. Oceanogr., Vol. 62, No. 2, pp. 155-170.

Hirota, N., M. Takahashi, N. Sato, and M. Kimoto, 2005: Change of the Baiu Season Climate in the East Asia During 1979 to 2003. SOLA, 1, 137-140, doi: 10.2151/sola.2005-036.

Kimoto, M., , 2005: Simulated change of the east Asian circulation under global warming scenario.   Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, L16701, doi: 10.1029/2005GL023383.

Chen, X., M. Kimoto, and M. Takahashi, 2005: Changes in ENSO in response to greenhouse warming as simulated by the CCSR/NIES/FRCGC coupled GCM. SOLA, 1,149-152, doi: 10.2151/aola. 2005-039.

Shiogama, H., M. Watanabe, M. Kimoto, and T. Nozawa, 2005: Anthropogenic and natural forcing impacts on ENSO-like decadal variability during the second half of the 20th century. Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, L21714, doi:10.1029/2005GL023871.

Yokohata, T., S. Emori, T. Nozawa, Y. Tsushima, T. Ogura and M. Kimoto, 2005: Climate response to volcanic forcing: Validation of climate sensitivity of a coupled atmosphere-ocean general circulation model. Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, L21710, doi: 10.1029/ 2005GL023542..

Yokohata T., S. Emori, T. Nozawa, Y. Tsushima, T. Ogura, M. Kimoto, 2005: A simple scheme for climate feedback analysis, Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, L19703, doi:10.1029/2005GL023673.

木本昌秀, 2005: 欧州熱波と日本の冷夏2003. 日本気象学会誌天気, vol. 52, no. 8, 608-612.

Inatsu, M., and M. Kimoto, 2005: Difference of boreal summer climate between coupled and atmosphere-only GCMs. SOLA, 1, 105-108, doi: 10.2151/sola. 2005-028.

Kimoto, M., N. Yasutomi, C. Yokoyama and S. Emori, 2005: Projected changes in precipitation characteristics near Japan under the global warming, SOLA, 1, 85-88, doi: 10.2151/sola. 2005-023.

Inatsu, M., and M. Kimoto, 2005: Two types of interannual variability of the mid-winter storm-track and their relationship to global warming. SOLA, 1, 61-64, doi: 10.2151/sola. 2005-017.

Miura, H., and M. Kimoto, 2005: A Comparison of grid quality of optimized spherical hexagonal-pentagonal geodesic grids. Mon. Wea. Rev., 133, 2817-2833.

Arai, M., and M. Kimoto, 2005: Relationship between springtime surface temperature and early summer blocking activity over Siberia. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 83, 261-267.

Sakamoto, T., A. Sumi, S. Emori, T. Nishimura, H. Hasumi, Ta. Suzuki, M. Kimoto, 2004: Far-reaching effects of the Hawaiian Islands in the CCSR/NIES/FRCGC high-resolution climate model. Geophys. Res. Lett., Vol. 31, No. 17, L17212, doi:10.1029/2004GL020907, 2004.

Weng, H., A. Sumi, Y. N. Takayabu, M. Kimoto, and C. Li, 2004: Interannual-interdecadal variation in large-scale atmospheric circulation and extremely wet and dry summers in China/Japan during 1951-2000. Part II: Dominant timescales. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 82, no.2, 789-804.

Weng, H., A. Sumi, Y. N. Takayabu, M. Kimoto, and C. Li, 2004: Interannual-interdecadal variation in large-scale atmospheric circulation and extremely wet and dry summers in China/Japan during 1951-2000. Part I: Spatial patterns. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 82, no.2, 775-788.

Ishii, M., M. Kimoto, and M. Kachi, 2003: Historical ocean subsurface temperature analysis with error estimate. Mon. Wea. Rev., 131, 51-73.

Watanabe, M., F.-F. Jin, and M. Kimoto, 2002: Tropical axisymmetric mode of variability. Part I: Dynamics as a neutral mode. J. Climate, 15, 1537-1554.

Davey, M., M. Huddleston, K. Sperber, P. Braconnot, F. Bryan, D. Chen, R. Colman, C. Cooper, U. Cubasch, P. Delecluse, D. DeWitt, L. Fairhead, G. Flato, C. Gordon, T. Hogan, M. Ji, M. Kimoto, A. Kitoh, T. Knutson, M. Latif, H. Le Treut, T. Li, S. Manabe, C. Mechoso, G. Meehl, S. Power, E. Roeckner, L. Terray, A. Vintzileos, R. Voss, B. Wang, W. Washington, I. Yoshikawa, J. Yu, S. Yukimoto, S. Zebiak, 2002: STOIC: a study of coupled model climatology and variability in tropical ocean regions. Climate Dyn., 18, no.5, 403-420, doi: 10.1007/s00382-001-0188-6.

Lal., M., D. Aggarwal, T. Nozawa, S. Emori, H. Harasawa, T. Takahashi, M. Kimoto, A. Abe-Ouchi, T. Nakajima, T. Takemura, and A. Numaguti, 2001: Future climate change: Implications for Indian summer monsoon and its variability. Current Science, vol.81, no.9, 1196-1207.

Latif, M., K. Sperber, J. Arblaster, P. Braconnot, D. Chen, A. Colman, U. Cubash, C. Cooper, P. Delecluse, D. DeWitt, L. Fairhead, G. Flato, T. Hogan, M. Ji, M. Kimoto, A. Kitoh, T. Knutson, H. Le Treut, T. Li, S. Manabe, O. Marti, C. Mechoso, G. Meehl, S. Power, E. Roeckner, J. Sirven, L. Terray, A. Vintzileos, R. Voss, B. Wang, W. Washington, I. Yoshikawa, J. Yu, S. Zebiak, 2001: ENSIP: the El Nino simulation intercomparison project. Climate Dyn., 18, 255-276.

Jin, F.-F., M. Kimoto, and X. A. Wang, 2001: A model of decadal ocean-atmosphere interaction in the North Pacific basin. Geophys. Res. Lett., 28, no.8, 1531-1534.

Kimoto, M., F.-F. Jin, M. Watanabe, and N. Yasutomi, 2001: Zonal-eddy coupling and a neutral mode theory for the Arctic Oscillation. Geophys. Res. Lett., Vol. 28, No. 4, 737-740.

Shen, X.-S., M. Kimoto, A. Sumi, A. Numaguti, and J. Matsumoto, 2001: Simulation of the 1998 East Asian summer monsoon by the CCSR/NIES AGCM. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 79, 741-757.

Watanabe, M., and M. Kimoto, 2000: Atmosphere-ocean thermal coupling in the North Atlantic: A positive feedback. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 126, 3343-3369.

石井正好, 木本昌秀, 2000: 全球海洋データ同化システムへのTOPEX/POSEIDON衛星高度計データの導入. 測候時報, 67, S51-S60.

Pontaud, M., J.-P. Ceron, M. Kimoto, Frederic Pluviaud, L. Terray, and A. Vintzileos, 2000: CoPIVEP: Coupled processes and interannual variability in the equatorial Pacific intercomparison. Climate Dyn., 16, 917-933.

Keppenne, C. L., S. L. Marcus, M. Kimoto, and M. Ghil: 2000: Intraseasonal Variability in a Two-Layer Model and Observations. J. Atmos. Sci., 57, 1010-1028.

Takata, K., and M. Kimoto, 2000: Numerical study on impacts of soil freezing on continental-scale annual cycle. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 78, 199-221.

Watanabe, M., and M. Kimoto, 2000: On the persistence of decadal SST anomalies in the North Atlantic. J. Climate, 13, 3017-3028.

熊倉俊郎,田村真紀子,木本昌秀, 2000: 現存植生分布と潜在植生分布を用いた大気大循環数値実験. 水工学論文集, 44, 31-36.

Watanabe, M., and M. Kimoto, 2000: Behavior of midlatitude decadal oscillations in a simple atmosphere-ocean system. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 78, 441-460.

Watanabe, M., and M. Kimoto, 1999: Tropical-extratropical connection in the Atlantic atmosphere-ocean variability. Geophys. Res. Lett., 26, 2247-2250.

Itoh H., and M. Kimoto, 1999: Weather Regimes, Low-Frequency Oscillations, and Principal Patterns of Variability : A Perspective of Extratropical Low-Frequency Variability. J. Atmos. Sci., 56, 2684-2705.

Zhang, R. , A. Sumi, and M. Kimoto, 1999: A diagnostic study of the impact of El Nino on the precipitation in China. Adv. Atmos. Sci., 16, 229-241.

Itoh, H., M. Kimoto, and H. Aoki, 1999: Alternation between the single and double jet structures in the Southern Hemisphere troposphere. Part I: Chaotic wandering. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 77, 399-412.

Shen, X.-S., and M. Kimoto, 1999: Influence of El Nino on the 1997 Indian Summer Monsoon. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 77, 1023-1037.

Emori, S., T. Nozawa, A. Abe-Ouchi, A. Numaguti, M. Kimoto, and T. Nakajima, 1998: Coupled ocean-atmosphere model experiments of future climate change with an explicit treatment of sulfate aerosol scattering. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 77, 1299-1307.

Watanabe, M., M. Kimoto, M. Kachi, T. Nitta, 1999: A comparison of decadal climate oscillations in the North Atlantic detected in obsertvations and a coupled GCM. J. Climate, 12, 2920-2940.

Takata, K., and M. Kimoto, 1998: Impact of soil freezing on the continental-scale seasonal cycle simulated by a general circulation model. In Proc.VIIth International Conf. on Permafrost, 1998, Yellowknife, N.W.T., Canada, 1035-1042.

Shen, X.-S., M. Kimoto, and A. Sumi, 1998: Role of land surface processes associated with interannual variability of broad-scale summer monsoon simulated by the CCSR/NIES AGCM. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 76, 217-236.

Itoh, H., and M. Kimoto, 1997: Chaotic itinerancy with preferred transition routes appearing in an atmospheric model. Physica, D109, 274-292.

Kimoto, M., I. Yoshikawa, M. Ishii, 1997: An ocean data assimilation system for climate monitoring. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 75, 471-487.

Itoh, H., and M. Kimoto, 1996: Multiple attractors and chaotic itinerancy in a quasi-geostrophic model with realistic topography: Implications for weather regimes and low-frequency variability. J. Atmos. Sci., 53, 2217-2231.

Zhang, R., A. Sumi, and M. Kimoto, 1996: Impact of El Nino on the East Asian Monsoon: A diagnostic study of the '86/87 and '91/92 events. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 74, 49-62.

Ishii, M., I. Yoshikawa, and M. Kimoto, 1994: Air-sea fluxes obtained from an operational global data assimilation system. Geophys. Mag., 45, 19-54.

Kimoto, M., and M. Ghil, 1993: Multiple flow regimes in the Northern Hemisphere winter. Part II: Sectorial regimes and preferred transitions. J. Atmos. Sci., 50, 2645-2673.

Kimoto, M., and M. Ghil, 1993: Multiple flow regimes in the Northern Hemisphere winter. Part I: Methodology and hemispheric regimes. J. Atmos. Sci., 50, 2625-2643.

余田成男, 木本昌秀, 向川均, 野村真佐子, 1992: カオスと数値予報 ―局所リアプノフ安定性と予測可能性―. 天気, 39, 3-14.

Kimoto, M., H. Mukougawa, and S. Yoden, 1992: Medium-range forecast skill variation and blocking transition: a case study. Mon. Wea. Rev., 120, 1616-1627.

Ghil, M., M. Kimoto, and J. D. Neelin, 1991: Nonlinear dynamics and predictability in the atmospheric sciences. Rev. Geophys., suppl., 46-55.

Mukougawa, H., M. Kimoto, and S. Yoden, 1991: A relationship between local error growth and quasi-stationary states: Case study in the Lorenz system. J. Atmos. Sci., 48, 1231-1237.

下山紀夫, 板倉秀夫, 木本昌秀, 1982: 空港測器に現れた航空機後流渦. 研究時報,34201-210.

 

Book

渡部雅浩(編著), 木本昌秀(編), 2013: エルニーニョ・南方振動(ENSO)研究の現在. 気象研究ノート, 228, 日本気象学会, 230pp.

佐藤公俊(著), 木本昌秀(監修), 2013: 天気と気象. 異常気象のすべてがわかる! 学研, 176pp.

森正人, 渡部雅浩, 木本昌秀, 2012: MIROC大気モデルによる2010年夏季の天候再現実験. 気象研究ノート, 225, 2010年夏 日本の猛暑」, 127-134.

木本昌秀, 2012: 予測の科学. In 岩波講座計算科学第5巻「計算と地球環境」(住明正, 露木義, 河宮未知生, 木本昌秀著), 岩波書店, 228pp. (分担執筆)

木本昌秀, 2012: 数値モデルによる気候変動研究. In 二つの温暖化(甲斐憲次編著), 成山堂書店, 74-93. (分担執筆)

Turner, A., K. Sperber, J. Slingo, G. Meehl, C. R. Mechoso, M. Kimoto, and A. Giannini, 2011: Modelling Monsoons: Understanding and predicting current and future behaviour. In The Global Monsoon System Research and Forecast (2nd ed; C.-P. Chang, Y. Ding, N.-C. Lau, R. H. Johnson, B. Wang, and T. Yasunari, eds.), World Scientific, 421-454.

木本昌秀, 宮坂隆之, 荒井美紀, 2005: 欧州熱波と日本の冷夏2003. 気象研究ノート,210, 2003年日本の冷夏」, 155-160.

Sumi, A., M. Kimoto, and X.-S. Shen , 2004: Simulation studies of the Asian monsoon using the CCSR/NIES AGCM. In East Asian Monsoon (Ed. C.-P. Chang), World Scientific, 332-353.

木本昌秀, 2004: コンピュータで地球の将来がわかるのか?―気候モデルとそれを用いた研究について―. 河川文化:河川文化を語る会講演集(その16, (社)日本河川協会, 51-118.

渡部雅浩, 木本昌秀, 2004: NAOの力学と長周期変動. 気象研究ノート第206号(「北極振動」山崎孝治編),23-48.

木本昌秀, 渡部雅浩, 2004: 北極振動の中立モード理論. 気象研究ノート第206号(「北極振動」山崎孝治編),11-22.

木本昌秀, 2003: 地球環境の数値モデルと衛星観測. 宇宙から見る地球の姿(住明正編),200216回「大学と科学」公開シンポジウム講演収録集,156-164.

Neelin, J. D., and M. Latif (訳:木本昌秀), 2003: エルニーニョの力学. in 「地球大循環とエルニーニョ」(パリティ編集委員会編;大槻義彦責任編集)、パリティブックス, 41-59.

Nozawa, T., S. Emori, A. Numaguti, Y. Tsushima, T. Takemura, T. Nakajima, A. Abe-Ouchi and M. Kimoto, 2001: Projections of Future Climate Change in the 21st Century Simulated by the CCSR/NIES CGCM under the IPCC SRES Scenarios. In Present and Future of Modeling Global Environmental Change: Toward Integrated Modeling, Eds., T. Matsuno and H. Kida, TERRAPUB, 15-28.

Kimoto, M., 2001: Studies of climate variability using general circulation models. In Present and Future of Modeling Global Environmental Change: Toward Integrated Modeling, Eds., T. Matsuno and H. Kida, TERRAPUB, 49-62.

渡部雅浩, 木本昌秀, 新田勍, 可知美佐子, 1998: 北大西洋10年規模変動—観測とモデル. 気候システム研究叢書no.3., 197-209.

木本昌秀, 1998: 環太平洋大気海洋結合変動の理解にむけて. 気候システム研究叢書no.3., 189-195.

木本昌秀, 吉川郁夫, 石井正好, 沈学順, 1997: 数値モデルによる93/94年夏の異常天候についての一考察. 気象研究ノート, 189, 232-248.

木本昌秀, 沈学順, 1997: 大循環モデルを用いた気候変動研究―モンスーンとエルニーニョ―.  気候システム研究叢書no.2., 91-116.

Ghil, M., K. Ide, A. Bennet, P. Courtier, M. Kimoto, M. Nagata, M. Saiki, and N. Sato, 1997: Data Assimilation in Meteorology and Oceanography: Theory and Practice. Universal Academy Press, pp. 386.

木本昌秀, 1994: 天気予報とカオス. in 「応用カオス」(合原一幸編), サイエンス社.

 

【総説】

木本昌秀, 1993: ブロッキング現象. 気象研究ノート第179号,319-367.

 

 

【解説、その他】

木本昌秀, 2017: 気象災害予測のリードタイムを確保するために. 地域防災, 20172月号, 4-7.

木本昌秀, 2016: 気候モデルの開発を通した我が国の地球温暖化研究の推進と気候変動にかかわる社会への情報発信. 日本気象学会誌「天気」, vol.63, no.10, 793-801.

木本昌秀, 2016: 気候変動: 温暖化でとくに注意したい「雨」の被害. 特集「東日本大震災から5年 変化する自然災害とリスクマネジメント」第1部「自然災害の傾向と今後」, Journal of Financial Planning, March 2016, 3-5.

木本昌秀, 2016: 気候変動の今.日本建築学会「建築雑誌」, vol.131, no.1679, 14-15.

木本昌秀, 2015: 世界気候研究計画(WCRP)合同科学委員会(JSC) –第36回会合の報告と所感–. 日本気象学会誌「天気」, vol. 62, no. 9, 813-817.

木本昌秀, 2014: 人類喫緊の課題としての地球温暖化.「特集:地球温暖化と環境変動」, 公明, 20149月号, 14-19.

木本昌秀, 2014: 「気候変動の将来予測とリスクについて」〜気候変動に関する政府間パネル第五次評価報告書第一次作業部会報告書を受けて〜. 19回下水道新技術研究発表会特別講演, 下水道機構情報, vol.8, no.19, 20147, 6-7.

木本昌秀, 三村信夫, 元村有希子, 竹村公太郎, 岸田弘之(司会), 2014: 座談会「異常気象に向き合うために 今できること、すべきこと」.土木学会誌, vol. 99, no. 4, 34-39.

木本昌秀, 2012: 「猛暑」第3回 コンピューターによる天気の長期予報. NHK そなえる防災(webコラム), http://www.nhk.or.jp/sonae/column/20121115.html.

木本昌秀, 2012: 「猛暑」第2回 猛暑を引き起こす要因.    NHK そなえる防災(webコラム), http://www.nhk.or.jp/sonae/column/20120914.html.

木本昌秀, 2012: 「猛暑」第1回 今年に続いて来年も?猛暑の実態. NHK そなえる防災(webコラム), http://www.nhk.or.jp/sonae/column/20120814.html.

Williamson, D. L. , M. Blackburn, B. J. Hoskins, K. Nakajima, W. Ohfuchi, Y. O. Takahashi, Y.-Y. Hayashi, H. Nakamura, M. Ishiwatari, J. L. McGregor, H. Borth, V. Wirth, H. Frank, P. Bechtold, N. P. Wedi, H. Tomita, M. Satoh, M. Zhao, I. M. Held, M. J. Suarez, M.-I. Lee, M. Watanabe, M. Kimoto, Y. Liu, Z. Wang, A. Molod, K. Rajendran, A. Kitoh and R. Stratton, 2012: THE APE ATLAS, NCAR Technical Note NCAR/TN-484+STR, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, Colorado, xxii+508 pps, In Press.

木本昌秀, 2010: 変わる地球の気候―予測は難しいがまた猛暑を経験する可能性は高い. 日本の論点2011. 文藝春秋編, 508-511.

木本昌秀, 2010: なぜ起こる異常気象. 「いま世界で」婦人之友, 20107月号, 30-33.

木本昌秀, 2010: 気候とは何か. 特集「気候 〜気候との新しい付き合い方〜」, Consultant, 248, 8-11.

木本昌秀, 石井正好, 2010: 近未来気候予測実験―十年規模気候変動の予測に向けて―. 月刊海洋, vol.42, no.5, 271-282.

木本昌秀, 2010: 気象・気候情報のよりよい利用に向けて. てんきすと, 633-7.

木本昌秀, 2009: 今後の数値予報への期待. 2009年度春季大会 公開気象講演会「数値予報の過去・現在・未来―数値予報現業運用開始50周年記念―」の報告. 日本気象学会誌「天気」, vol. 56, no. 11, 908-913.

木本昌秀, 2008: 進行する地球温暖化、都市化と気象災害. 東京消防平成2011月号, 14-15.

木本昌秀, 2008: 気候変化予測の現状と今後の課題. 国土交通20085月号, 8-9.

木本昌秀, 2008: 地球シミュレータを用いた地球温暖化予測. 計算工学, vol.13, no.2, 1804-1807.

余田成男, 中澤哲夫, 山口宗彦, 竹内義明, 木本昌秀, 榎本剛, 岩崎俊樹, 向川均, 松枝未央, 茂木耕作, 三好健正, 新野宏, 斉藤和雄、瀬古弘, 小司禎教, 2008: 日本における顕著現象の予測可能性研究. 日本気象学会誌「天気」, vol. 55, no. 2, 115-126.

木本昌秀, 2007: 異常気象と温暖化の関係とは―熱波、豪雨、干ばつ...地球温暖化が気象の極端化に与える影響は大. 日本の論点. 文藝春秋編, 648-651.

木本昌秀, 2007: 将来の気候変化に関する予測. 特集「地球温暖化を読む」, 科学, vol.77, no.7, 696-701.

木本昌秀, 2007: High-impact weather: 今後の研究の展望. 日本気象学会誌「天気」, vol. 54, no. 87, 635-638.

木本昌秀, 2006: 地球温暖化と東アジアの気候変化. グロースベッター, 44, 34-39.

木本昌秀, 2006: スーパーコンピュータを用いた気候システムの研究. スーパーコンピューティングニュース, Vol.8, No. Special Issue 1, 27-37.

木本昌秀, 2005: 異常気象への挑戦. 科学, vol.75, no.10, 1138-1140.

木本昌秀, 2005: 異常気象の謎を追って―2004年度学会賞受賞記念講演―. 日本気象学会誌「天気」, 52, no.6, 439-448.

木本昌秀, 2005: 高解像度大気海洋結合モデルによる温暖化時日本付近の降水特性の変化. 平成16年度国土交通省委託業務成果報告書「気候変動が水資源に与える影響評価研究調査」, 印刷中.

木本昌秀, 2005: 2004年異常気象と地球温暖化. Safety Eye(損保ジャパン広報誌),  20052月号, 2-9.

江守正多, 住明正, 木本昌秀, 野沢徹 2004: 地球温暖化と異常気象 スーパーコンピュータが予測する未来の気候, 21世紀の環境とエネルギーを考える,時事通信社, 26, 33-46.

Ogura, T., S. Emori, and M. Kimoto 2004Impact of different cloud modeling assumptions on climate sensitivity in a general circulation model, CGERs Supercomputer activity report, vol.12, 2003.

木本昌秀, 2004: コンピュータモデルによる地球温暖化予測. 公開講演会「地球温暖化と異常気象」の報告(日本気象学会地球環境委員会主催), 日本気象学会誌「天気」, 51, 56.

木本昌秀, 2004: 気候モデルによる予測の現状と課題. 平成15年度国土交通省委託業務成果報告書「気候変動が水資源に与える影響評価研究調査」, 17-26.

Liaqat, A., M. Kimoto, and T. Takeda, 2004: Predicting nonlinear time series by neural network residual minimization training method. Proc. Annual Meeting of the Japan Soc. Int. & Appl. Math. (Chuo Univ., Sep., 2004), 418-419.

安富奈津子・木本昌秀, 2004: 夏季アジアモンスーン域の主要変動モード. グロースベッター,42, 19-31.

Nozawa, T., S. Emori, Numaguti, Y. Tsushima, T. Takemura, T. Nakajima, and M., Kimoto , 2003: Transient Climate Change Simulations in the 21st Century with the CCSR/NIES CGCM under a New Set of IPCC Scenarios. CGER'S SUPERCOMPUTER AMONOGRAPH REPORT Vol. 8, Center for Global Environmental Research, National Institute for Environmental Studies, pp.44.

木本昌秀, 2003: 気候の自然変動研究―より高いリアリズムをめざして―. 専門分科会「気象学における地球環境問題」の報告(地球環境問題委員会), 日本気象学会誌「天気」, vol.50, no.5, 376-379.

木本昌秀, 2003: 中緯度および熱帯における再帰的な変動モードとその予測可能性. グロースベッター,41, 89-94.

石井正好、坂元賢治、木本昌秀, 2003: 気候の監視と予測のための全球海洋データ同化. グロースベッター,41, 15-21.

Nozawa, T., H. Kanzawa, S. Sugata, S. Emori, A. Higurashi, A. Numaguti, K. Takata, Y. N. Takayabu, A. Abe-Ouchi, M., Kimoto, T. Nakajima, T. Oki, and M. Yokozawa, 2002: On the sensitivity of the CCSR/NIES CGCM. CGER'S SUPERCOMPUTER ACTIVITY REPORT VOL. 9-2000, 19-22.

木本昌秀, 2002: 「北極振動」の力学、励起メカニズムについて. グロースベッター,40, 28-36.

木本昌秀, 2002: 本だな「エルニーニョ現象を学ぶ」天気, 49, 501.

木本昌秀, 2002: 今年の夏はエルニーニョが怖い?電気協会報, no.932, 25-27.

木本昌秀, 2001: 衛星データとモデルとの結合―4次元データ同化について―. In 地球環境のリモートセンシング(共著), 森北出版, 出版予定.

渡部雅浩, 木本昌秀, 2001: 北大西洋10年規模変動のメカニズムについて. 月刊海洋号外, no.24, 116-122.

木本昌秀, F.-F. Jin, 渡部雅浩, 安富奈津子, 2001: 北極振動の力学. 月刊海洋号外, no.24, 157-161.

Day, C. (訳:木本昌秀), 2001: 大気-海洋結合の詳細が浮き彫りに. パリティ, vol.16, no.2, 35-37.

Kimoto, M., X. Shen, A. Sumi, A. Numaguti, and J. Matsumoto, 2000: Simulation of the 1998 East Asian Summer Monsoon by the CCSR/NIES AGCM. CGER'S SUPERCOMPUTER ACTIVITY REPORT VOL. 8-1999, 9-10.

Shen, X.-S., and M. Kimoto, 2000: TBO in a coupled model and related Asian monsoon variability. Proceedings of the Second International Symposium on Asian Monsoon Systems, March 27-31, 2000, Cheju, Korea, 224-229.

Kimoto, M., , X.-S. Shen, A. Numaguti, J. Matsumoto, and A. Sumi, 2000: Simulation of the 1998 East Asian summer monsoon by the CCSR/NIES AGCM. Proceedings of the Second International Symposium on Asian Monsoon Systems, March 27-31, 2000, Cheju, Korea, 218-223.

木本昌秀, 2000: 「異常気象」はどこが異常か?ゑれきてる, vol.76, 5.

木本昌秀, 2000: 変動する地球環境と異常気象の発生形態. 災害列島1999―平成11年の水害を検証する. 建設省河川局.

木本昌秀(筆記:竹田康生), 1999: 世界各地で発生する異常気象. 気象, 43, no.9, 34-37.

Neelin, J. D., and M. Latif (訳:木本昌秀), 1999: エルニーニョの力学. パリティ, 14.

安富奈津子, 木本昌秀, 1999: エルニーニョと日本の冬季気候の関係について. グロースベッター, 37, 57-66.

日本気象学会(編), 1998: 気象科学辞典. 東京書籍, 637pp. (分担執筆)

木本昌秀, 1998: 4.コメント:中緯度大気海洋相互作用の長期予報可能性へのインパクト. 気象学会98年春季大会シンポジウム「予測可能性―カオスへの挑戦」報告(岩崎俊樹, 余田成男, 露木義, 高野清治, 木本昌秀). 天気, 46, 191-194.

北村佳照, 石井正好, 木本昌秀, 轡田邦夫, 黒田芳史, 高野清治, 1998: 97/98エルニーニョ解剖 −”史上最大級”の謎に迫る−」春季大会シンポジウム. 海の研究, 7, 323-331.

Shen, X.-S., and M. Kimoto, 1998: Influence of El Nino on the 1997 Indian summer monsoon. Proc. International Conference on the Variability and Predictability of the Asian Monsoon, Xian, Sept. 22-26, 1998, 170-173.

Kimoto, M., and N. Yasutomi, 1998: El Nino and winter climate of Japan. Proc. International Conference on the Variability and Predictability of the Asian Monsoon, Xian, Sept. 22-26, 1998, 166-169.

Ishii, M., N. Hasegawa, S. Sugimoto, I. Ishikawa, I. Yoshikawa, and M. Kimoto, 1997: An El Nino prediction experiment with a JMA ocean-atmosphere coupled model, "Kookai". In Proc. WMO International Workshop on Dynamical Extended Range Forecasting, Toulouse, France, 17-21 November 1997, WMO/TD-No.881, 105-108.

Cohn, S. A. , J. Hallett, and D. Koracin (訳:木本昌秀), 1997: 気象学での教育と研究の共存. パリティ, vol.12, no.12, 12-19.

中島映至, 小池俊雄, 久保田雅久, 高木幹雄, 木本昌秀, 1997: 科学研究費重点領域研究「衛星計測」成果報告会を開く. 天気, vol.44, 561-565.

木本昌秀, 1997: 大気海洋結合モデルでシミュレートされた北太平洋10年振動. 月刊海洋, 29, 654-658.

木本昌秀, 1997: 数値予報から気候変動予測へ. パリティ,vol.12, no.1, 53-56.

木本昌秀, 1996: 異常気象とブロッキング. 気象学のみかた.AERA MookNew学問のみかた」シリーズ2,朝日新聞社,92-97.

木本昌秀, 沈学順, 1996: 陸面過程とモンスーン:AGCMによるシミュレーション. GAME Newsletter, no.2, 5-6.

木本昌秀, 住明正, 升本順夫, 中村恵子, 1996: 観測ブイネットワーク配置に関する基礎的研究成果報告書. 日本気象学会,118pp.

木本昌秀, 1996: エルニーニョカオス. 数理科学, no.401, 81-85.

木本昌秀, 1996: ブロッキング(中高緯度の長周期変動). 日本気象学会第30回夏季大学テキスト, 1-10.

Itoh, H., and M. Kimoto, 1995: Nonlinear Modeling of Extratropical Low-Frequency Variabilities: Dynamics of Blocking, Weather Regimes and Low-Frequency Oscillations. Reports of A New Program for Creative Basic Research Studies. Vol. I-3, Climate System Dynamics and Modelling. pp.271-294. (available from CCSR, Univ. Tokyo).

木本昌秀, 伊藤久徳, 1996: 気象におけるパターン生成・崩壊のダイナミクス. 数理科学, no.396, 57-62.

木本昌秀, 1995: 地球気候のシミュレーション. 日本シミュレーション学会誌, 14, 286-292.

木本昌秀, 1995: エルニーニョと異常気象の予測. 科学, 65, 389-397.

木本昌秀, 伊藤久徳, 1995: ブロッキングの局所非線型共鳴理論.グロースベッター, 33, 1-8.

Ishii, M., I. Yoshikawa, and M. Kimoto, 1995: A Study of the Formation of Low SST Anomaly over the North Pacific in 1993 using an OGCM. Proc. IInd International Symposium on Assimilation of Observations in Meteorology and Oceanography, World Meteor. Org., TD#651.

Yoshikawa, I., M. Ishii, and M. Kimoto, 1995: Ocean Data Assimilation System for Climate Monitoring at JMA. Proc. IInd International Symposium on Assimilation of Observations in Meteorology and Oceanography, World Meteor. Org., TD#651, 561-564.

木本昌秀, 1994: 気象予報とカオス. KAST Report, vol.6, no.2, 14-19.

余田成男, 向川均, 木本昌秀, 佐藤康夫, 1994: IAMAP-IAHS シンポジウム報告 M4:Atmospheric Predictability. 日本気象学会誌「天気」,40, 998-1000.

木本昌秀, 1993: カオスを越えて—地球の気候変動は予測できるか?最新科学論シリーズ23「新・地球論」,150-156.

Kimoto, M., and I. Yoshikawa, 1993: Toward the prediction of short-term climate variabilities. Report on Japanese WCRP activities.

木本昌秀, 1992: 天気予報とカオス. 数理科学,no.348, 59-63.

石井正好, 吉川郁夫, 木本昌秀, 1993: 全球四次元データ同化システムから得られた海面フラックスの紹介. グロースベッター, 32, 16-30.

木本昌秀, 1992: 天候レジーム. 日本気象学会誌「天気」,39, 53-54.

木本昌秀, 1992: 好奇心の塊—Michael Ghil. 日本気象学会誌「天気」,39, 43-44.

木本昌秀, 1992: エルニーニョの予報をめざして. 海と安全,no.396, 14-16.

吉川郁夫, 石井正好, 木本昌秀, 1992: 候監視のための海洋データ同化システム. グロースベッター, 31, 1-23.

木本昌秀, 1992: 中緯度大気の40日振動. グロースベッター,30, 1-16.

木本昌秀, 1992: 中緯度長周期変動と予測可能性. 数値予報課報告・別冊第38, 気象庁, 64-91.

木本昌秀, 1991: 全球数値予報モデル海上風の検証. 数値予報解説資料(24), 気象庁, 16-28.  

向川均, 木本昌秀, 余田成男, 1991: 予報誤差の変動と準定常状態. グロースベッター, 29, 1-29.

Kimoto, M., M. Ghil, and K.-C. Mo, 1991: Spatial structure of the extratropical 40-day oscillation. In Proc. VIIIth Conf. Atmos. & Oceanic Waves & Stability, American Meteorological Society, Boston, 115-116.

木本昌秀, 1989: 大気海洋結合モデルの実現にむけて. 数値予報課報告・別冊第35, 気象庁, 74-111.

木本昌秀, 1989: 北半球冬季の天候レジーム. グロースベッター, 27, 13-33.

Kimoto, M., 1988: A preliminary intercomparison between satellite-derived and model-generated clouds and radiation. JMA/NPD technical report no.23, 24pp. 

木本昌秀, 1988: 大寒波をもたらす偏西風の異常な蛇行. ニュートン,8, 24-25.

木本昌秀, 1983: 列島をはさむ二つの渦巻. 日本気象学会誌「天気」,30, 55-57.

下山紀夫, 木本昌秀, 1982: 空港測器に現れた後流渦. 東管技術ニュース,68, 4-8.

木本昌秀, 1981: 滑走路視距離観測の問題点について. 東管技術ニュース,64, 44-48.